Wednesday, April 9, 2014

They're In, Now Win!

By NiNY

The Wild locked in their minimum 53rd percentile performance for this season last night. Yep. That's all we learned: they can't finish worse than in the 53rd percentile of the league. Okay we have also learned that they can play with the very best in the league. That they can come back on the very best in the league, even. And that is really my point here.

We should not, as fans, be satisfied that they made the playoffs. That should be the perennial minimum expectation. To be fair, I have not read anyone saying they are satisfied with just making the playoffs. But I have said from the start of this season that my expectation was that they would take the next step, and to me that would be demonstrated by winning a round this playoffs. I have also said that I was prepared to have that expectation not be met, and I would not automatically fall into a "they suck, blow it up" mind frame if that came to pass. But my expectations have been about progress. They took the step of getting back into the playoffs last season and did not deliver a significantly diminished roster coming into this season. I felt, and still feel, like taking that next step should be the expectation - whether it takes one or more seasons to do so.

I am happy that they have put themselves in a position to meet my expectations for this season. I am very impressed with how they turned it around the past couple of weeks. That tells me that my expectations are reasonable.

Monday, March 31, 2014

Stuff (and Stuff) 03/31/14

By NiNY

Things that are going on that caught my eye.

*Frozen Four field is set. Great looking match-ups. This season just didn't feel right without a Minnesota-NoDak battle on the sched, so, good that we get one afterall.

*Break up Gustav Nyquist! The kid is on fire, scoring at a 40+ goal pace. And, oh great, another late(r) round pick by the Red Wings who is turning out to be amazing. Other GMs should watch the Red Wings draft in the mid- and late-rounds like investment managers watch Warren Buffet.

*The Blackhawks have come up with a cagey way to get Kane and Toews some rest before the playoffs. Points for creativity, Stan!

*The Maple Leafs are absolutely imploding and I love it. But, evidence of just how thin the East is, they've lost 8-straight, and they're still only 2 points out of a wild card spot.

*Speaking of imploding, see: Canucks, Vancouver. And theirs is considerably more enjoyable than the Buds' implosion. Meanwhile, Vigneault has the Rangers in the playoffs right now...

*Vanek has 6-5-11 in the 12 games he's played with the Habs (.916 points/game). Moulson has 4-4-8 points in the 13 games he's played with the Wild (.615 points/game).


Monday, March 3, 2014

*BREAKING* NHL To Play More *Indoor* Games

By NiNY

We are beyond absurd at this point with these outdoor games. The optics have deteriorated from sublime to ridiculous, to the point where we have *outdoor* games being played *indoors*, better hockey conditions in LA than in Vancouver, and Chicago presenting as totally redundant to, of all places, Michigan. Then there's the whole issue of the sheer volume of these games. I'll give the NHL that they engineered a good crescendo leading up to the Winter Classic with the early games. But every game SINCE then has just seemed progressively more pathetic, a "Me, too! Me, too!" desperation combined with the worst thing a regular season game can be: routine. And they've even lost part of the novelty (the Santa's Village window at Macy's effect) as they are being played after a Winter Olympics and while the country settles more and more into perma-freeze.

I suppose when you have as few lilies on the national scale as the NHL has, the temptation to gild one that comes along must be tremendous.

But, what's next? A second Stanley Cup playoffs, every year?

This is a league that has botched marketing in the past. Ad campaigns from yesteryear that were shown...during hockey broadcasts. And it's also a league that competes with other leagues that have brilliant marketing arms. When you're the NFL you can advertise wherever you please. When you're the NHL you need to be more judicious, or at least opportunistic.

The Winter Classic had become a great property for the NHL. Sure it only featured 6.6% of the teams in the league, but the game was secondary to the event - and the perception bonus was worth it. Going to six games this season felt like a reach from the beginning, and it has certainly played out that way.

Meanwhile, the only outdoor game to be played indoors this season produced the best hockey conditions of the lot - not that it mattered to the home team - which, with any luck, will hopefully entice the NHL to try adding more indoor games to the schedule going forward. I know, it's a crazy idea.

Sunday, February 9, 2014

At the Oly Break, Who Are the Wild?

By NiNY

They're pretty much who we thought they'd be. A low seed in the West. The most-talented Wild team ever, but likely to struggle to do much damage in the playoffs. My stated expectations for this season are that they improve on last season - which is to say that I want them to win a round in the playoffs. But, that is likely to be a tougher expectation to meet than last year's expectation which was simply to make the playoffs. At no time was this team positioned to be a contender this season. Anyone who thought that is seriously delusional. But, I wanted them to move from the 53rd percentile to the 26th percentile - I don't think that's too much to ask of a team that is spending what this team is spending, on the caliber of player on which it's spending it.

GOALTENDING
This has been the surprise position this season. It's also been a source of disappointment. For as brilliant as Harding has been, and he was brilliant the first half of the season, the team must figure out what's behind his penchant for pulling up lame all the time - and I'm obviously not talking about MS (when he has complications from that no one, least of all me, is going to complain). But the MS is also an issue. We need a good goalie on whom we can count (to play). We have a (potentially) good goalie who cannot be counted on - for both unfortunate reasons and, alternately, vexing ones.

Backstrom, on the other hand, has been disappointing. He's so far off his career numbers as to suggest that either he's having a monumental off-year or his game simply vanished over the summer. Under contract for two more seasons, although, if you want to whine about Fletcher signing him to that deal, don't bring that around here. You play the cards you're dealt, and Bax was willing to give up a lot of money (from his last deal) to sign here.

Kuemper, on the third hand, has been, on balance, a revelation. The question is: will playing up here be good or bad for his development and confidence? I can't believe it's been bad for his development, and his confidence appears to have been restored after his rocky start to the season. The discussion about whether or not to go out and get another goalie for the stretch drive and the playoffs is valid, but also fraught with hypocrisy. If, for example, we don't want Fletcher to go out and trade a bunch of assets for Vanek for the stretch drive, then why should we want to bolster our goaltending? In other words, I don't want Vanek now because I don't want to give up the assets and this team ain't winning the Cup this year regardless. So, by the same thinking, just let Kuemper ride it out. Stranger things have happened with rookie goalies in net.

DEFENSE
Frankly, this group has played beyond my expectations, as well. No need to re-hash the play of Suter and Brodin, but, from Spurgeon on down through Blum, we've received enough solid-if-unspectacular play from the depth guys that I have to say I've been pleased with the defense. The Wild has a very solid core of 5-8 defensemen. They could use another minute-muncher to take some of the pressure off Suter. I know he says he thrives under the minutes, but especially with the Oly, if he breaks down towards the end of the season it will be very unfortunate. More than goalie, I hope Fletcher addresses this, long-term.

There really isn't an appreciable difference between Scandella, Stoner, Prosser, Ballard, and Blum, beyond the margins. But they've all been effective, for the most part (Ballard has probably been the weakest link).

FORWARDS
This has been the most frustrating group of the three. This team simply cannot score goals. They've never been able to score goals in the entire history of the team. But, although the offensive skill is as high as it's ever been, it's not translating to the scoreboard (currently ranked 25th in goals for/game, 9th in goals against/game). Now, the key here is that the kids are coming along. Niederreiter could end up being one of the best trades of Fletcher's career. Hopefully he comes back from the Oly (intact and) with even more confidence, his game raised to yet another level for playing against that kind of competition. Granlund, what a turn around. I've been pining for a true #1 center for years. Could he and Pominville end up being the second coming of Hull and Oates? Coyle is coming - just needs to find consistency (hardly alarming for a kid his age). Fontaine is shaping up to be a very valuable multi-dimensional player with a nose for the net. Haula has the look of a future strong 3rd line center, and his wheels are a very powerful weapon. It's because of this group (plus Brodin) that I'm not fretting about how this season ends up. It's also because of this group that I don't want Fletcher to pay the Islanders what they want for Vanek. The window for this team isn't open yet. If they continue on their current trajectory, it could be open in a couple years. Let's not shoot our load now. Let the kids develop, take their lumps and their losses (when they come). Think long-term, which, in the Wild's case, might not be that long.

COACHING
I said before that I was off the Yeo bandwagon. I don't like to look rash, so I'm not going to tell you I'm back on it. There's still too much inconsistency, and, while the ship certainly seems to have been righted from where it was in December, the rocky shoals are not far off and frankly Yeo hasn't delivered anything yet during his tenure. He may be the gateway coach, and his contributions may be guiding the kids right now. And, if that's the case, and there's another coach out there to bring us to the promised land, then I will ultimately be grateful to Yeo for overseeing these formative years.

FINAL ANALYSIS
So, who is this Wild team? I think they're a playoff team, for starters. I think they have goalie depth issues, but may have found their long-time starter (although, if that's true, then you have two untradeable guys on one-way deals for at least one more season....that's a bit of a mess). If there was a defenseman MVP award, Suter would certainly win it (the Norris having become what it has become). They have the makings of a deadly offensive combination in Granlund and Pominville. They have the hardest working star-who-plays-like-a-grinder in the league, in Parise. Their best days are still in front of them. And the best thing I can say about this team is that they pulled out of that holiday nose-dive and recovered to win some big games - all without some major stars in the lineup. That's extremely encouraging. We'll probably be first round fodder again this season, but the train is on the tracks at this point in time.

Friday, January 31, 2014

Locked In at Fourth in The Central

By NiNY

Inconsistent play from one game to the next has long been a Minnesota Wild hallmark. It's both frustrating to watch and probably unpreventable. Except that the elite teams either don't have that problem or they have it far less-frequently as the Wild does. And the Wild doesn't produce the long winning streaks, or 14 wins in 16 games kind of runs that allows the other teams to have an off-game without it feeling like a big deal.

So, last night the Wild played their patented ineffective start, rally late that falls short move. Seriously, the Wild's score should have a registered trademark sign after it. But I fear the effect to their outlook for this season will be rather more pronounced.

Current Central division standings
1. CHI 56 GP 33 W 79 PTS 115.7 projected
2. STL 52 GP 36 W 77 PTS 121.4 projected
3. COL 53 GP 34 W 73 PTS 112.9 projected
4. MIN 56 GP 29 W 64 PTS 93.7 projected
5. DAL 54 GP 24 W 57 PTS 86.5 projected
6. NAS 55 GP 24 W 56 PTS 83.5 projected
7. WPG 55 GP 25 W 55 PTS 82 projected

It's going to be very hard for the Wild to finish ahead of Colorado - assuming no major ups or downs for either team from here on out. The Avs have both games-in-hand and more wins (and ROW: 31 for COL and 23 for MIN) than the Wild does. The relative delta there means it's going to be very hard for the Wild to catch the Avs - particularly since they don't have any more head-to-head games. The Avs went 4-0-1 against the Wild this season. So Colorado owns the key tie breakers, too. But even without all that, making up nine points and five wins - with three fewer games in which to do so - is just a very tall order. Think about it. If the Avs go .500 (14-15-0) the rest of the way, they finish with 48 wins and 101 points. That means the Wild would need 38 more points from this point to finish with 102. That would mean the Wild would have to go at least 19-8 the rest of the way to pass Colorado. The Avs have won at a 64.1% pace so far this season. If they win 64% of their remaining 29 games, that gives them another 18 wins, or 36 points, for a total of 109. In order to finish with 110 points the Wild needs 46 more points, or 23 wins out of their remaining 27 games. Sure, it's possible, but anyone who wants to bet me that the Wild finishes ahead of Colorado should feel free to contact me today. In fact, just mail me the money.

The good news here is that, if I'm saying the Wild won't catch Colorado, then that same rationale has to apply downward. And, indeed, I think it will be difficult for Dallas, Nashville and Winnipeg to catch the Wild at this point. They are basically as far behind the Wild as the Wild is behind Colorado. Dallas has the best chance of the three since they have 2 games-in-hand. So it looks like the Wild is pretty much locked into a fourth place finish in the Central this season.

Wednesday, January 29, 2014

The Great Goalie Gambit

By NiNY

Watching the game last night, I was reminded of this picture of young Messrs. Richter and Vanbiesbrouck:



The Wild has managed to stitch together a Frankstein's monster of goaltending from partial season performances from Harding, Kuemper, and Backstrom this season. In totality, it has resulted in a plus-season defensively: 7th-best goals against per game (2.38), and Harding still sits at (GAA) or near (SPCT) the top of the major goaltending statistical categories - other than wins and shutouts - despite not having played yet in 2013. Kuemper has assumed the mantle of starter recently and is currently tied (with MA Fleury) for 21st in GAA and 18th in SPCT (I don't think he's played enough to qualify for league leader rankings).

For this cumulative performance, the Wild is paying Backstrom $3.416M, Harding $1.9M and Kuemper $776k against the cap. That's a rough total of $6.092M, which, frankly, isn't utterly ridiculous. As much as Wild fans like to think otherwise, the dollars for Backstrom are reasonable. And the dollars for Harding are terrific - when he plays like he played earlier this season. And, when he plays, but not as well as he played earlier this season, well $1.9M for a backup isn't exactly Jamie Dimon money. The per-season-cap-hit isn't the issue either. It's the term. And the fact that there are three of them.

Backstrom is a career 2.46/.916 goalie. Good, above-average NHL goalie. Not elite, but not Oilers goalie-du-jour, either. This season, Backstrom is performing at a 3.02/.899 level. And that's after he's played better in his more recent starts. Well off his career levels. I know the stats don't tell the whole story, but is anyone who has watched Bax this season going to argue that he HASN'T been shaky? On the other hand, Harding has been a revelation this season. As alluded to earlier, his 1.66/.933 is obviously extremely strong. Particularly when benchmarked to his career numbers which, at 2.45/.918, are eerily similar to...Backstrom's (reminder: 2.46/.916). Granted, Harding only has 124 career starts to Backstrom's 377, but you get the point.

Wild fans have been at odds with the mean regression mongers at various points over the years. Frankly, mean regression is an observable thing. It's real. But it's not as predictive as the self-styled fancy math set like to think it is. At least not in and of itself. It's an inherently lagging indicator. So, both sides should probably settle down about it a bit.

The question is: to what extent will both players revert back (up, for Backstrom; down, for Harding) to their career averages? And here's where we (finally) get to the point of this post. The conversation around the Wild goalies is extremely convoluted. If Backstrom is now playing to a new (lower) level from which he will not be able to materially improve, then being tied to him for two MORE seasons after this - at a $3.416M cap hit - is onerous. Backstrom's cap hit is higher than Jonathan Bernier's, Corey Crawford's, Craig Anderson's, Ben Bishop's, etc. It's also higher than Josh Harding's. So, if we're going to get largely the same output from both of those guys, why are we paying one twice as much as the other? Well, one of the answers is that we might not be able to get the same output from both guys. To begin with, Harding could regress. That's obviously possible - and, if you don't think it is, you're wrong. In black and white, Harding's play so far this season is the exception within his career-to-date body of work, not the norm. And the other side is that clearly it's dangerous to assume that Hards will be available for an entire season at a time at this point. Harding is under contract through next season.

So, it's not as simple as 'just trade for Ryan Miller', even if Fletcher could somehow hoodwink Murray into giving us Miller for nothing. As big an issue as carrying three goalies is, carrying four is not any better. Obviously if you acquire a healthy starter, you can send The Cows back to Iowa. But, in order to really land in a better place, vis-a-vis goalies, with any kind of acquisition, we would need to net reduce the number of goalies on the roster. There are three now. You bring in a new guy, send Kuemper to Iowa, you're still at three. Yes there are other options (LTIR, for example), but the ideal would be to send Backstrom or Harding the other way. Well, Backstrom has a modified NMC/NTC, per Capgeek, and, when most GMs trade for a player they want them to be able to play - and that's the big thing with Harding, right? Tough situation for Fletcher.

The wild card here is Kuemper. After an ugly start to the season, he has been huge for the Wild since he took over as starter. His stats are good: career 2.21/.921, albeit with only 13 starts, but no worse than what we can expect from Backstrom or Harding over a normal sample. Of course, Kuemper may be playing to a premium right now, as well. That's certainly a possibility. You're asking a lot from a kid his age to step in and save a playoff team's season. But, I assume the big thing for him this season was to get lots of minutes at the pro level. Doing that in St. Paul vs. Des Moines - particularly when he's not just getting shelled (and risking his confidence) - might not hurt his development, long-term. There's no doubt that Kuemper has allowed Fletcher more time to let the situation (with Harding) work itself out, with the highest potential for the least amount of upheaval to the roster in the process.

In the meantime, if you read Elliotte Friedman's 30 Thoughts this week, you learned about another wrinkle in the economics that might be keeping trades at bay right now. And there's always the chance that a Miller goes to Sochi and comes back tired, or injured. Or, by the same token, that Sochi gives Harding the time he needs to get back on the ice. And, the final piece in the puzzle: the Wild is thriving right now. They're not going to finish above third in the division, fourth in the conference. But, when I look at the current wild card standings, currently no team below the Wild has a better 10-game record - that's big because it means separation.

I'm glad Fletcher has not sold off big pieces to bring in a goalie so far. I'm glad he didn't bring in Theodore. I don't want him to sell off big pieces to bring in Miller, either. This isn't the Wild's year. Get that stretch drive under Kuemper's belt, maybe a series or two, and try to time the run for a couple years down the road when Backstrom and Harding are no longer our problem. At this point, I'm as confident going into the playoffs with Kuemper as I am with Backstrom (due to his play) or Harding (due to his health). And the pieces we would have to give up to get a Miller might be useful in a couple years when this team should be bearing fruit.

Monday, January 27, 2014

On Outdoor Games

By NiNY

There can be no doubt that the actual events in Michigan, California, and New York so far have been successful for the NHL so far. Just looking at the attendance alone - some 175,000-odd people have attended the three games? At their current pace, it would take Phoenix more than 13 games to prod 175,000 people through the turnstiles. The optics have been both strong and varied - from the seeing-the-Colosseum-for-the-first-time scale of Michigan Stadium, to 60s and palm trees and glitterati in LA, to that little bit of magic (good or bad, depending on your perspective) that Yankee Stadium just has in New York. The league must be pleased with the outcome, so far. But I wonder how much the league is holding its collective breath, too?

The cracks are there. NHL.com was advertising discounts on tickets for LA a couple weeks ago. Promos for Wednesday's game at Yankee Stadium make sure to remind us that tickets are still available. You had some pointed griping about the conditions in NY. The hinky warm-up delay thing. The Ducks' uniforms.

And, the biggest crack, although few admit it (which makes you wonder just how many hockey fans are going to these games, versus those just wanting to participate in the happening - which is completely cool), is that the games have suffered. No honest to goodness hockey fan is going to sit there and tell me these games look like any other NHL game. It's somewhere between a preseason game and the All-Star game in terms of intensity and focus. And how can you blame the players? They walk out into that atmosphere, how can you not be in awe?

I've been to an outdoor game. This year, in Rochester. It was simultaneously one of the most fun hockey experiences I've ever had and the worst hockey game I've ever seen.

The basic problem is that a regulation hockey rink is just not set up to be viewed from as far away as places like baseball stadia and The Big House mandate it be viewed from. Watching a baseball game is simple. Football, too. With all due respect, watching a trapped baserunner try to juke around a shortstop trying to tag him out is just not the same as watching a hockey forward trying to deke a guy at the blueline. You need to see the plays develop in hockey, which is also something in football, I suppose, and I wonder if Michigan Stadium hasn't been the best of the three venues so far, for that reason alone - the stands are much more on top of the field than the baseball stadia. The game I attended was at a minor league baseball park - small in other words (and the seats were on an even more gentle grade than at some of the big MLB parks - to the point that the second deck were the "expensive" seats for the hockey game) - and I still couldn't see a thing. The rink was set up length-wise across the infield from first-to-third with the benches on the second base/outfield side. We were sitting behind home plate, so at center ice, but, because of the foul territory behind the dish, we were as far from the ice as you could be. The near boards meant you couldn't see players from the waist-down no matter what. And, if the play was on the other side of the rink, the line of sight was such that you could really only see shoulders-up. And forget about seeing the puck - ever. Again, that was a small ballpark, so maybe the viewing has been better at the NHL games so far. But, I'm guessing it hasn't been ideal. Or even very good. So, as far as Going To A Hockey Game, these outdoor games, writ as large as they can be, are no good.

But, as I said, the game I saw was also one of the most fun hockey experiences I've had. It was just a party, man. It was cold, for one. And people were taking their pre-gaming seriously. And their mid-gaming. And, I would assume, their post-gaming, too. But, instead of being sloppy, rude, belligerent drunks, everyone was just...happy. There was a wonderful feeling of shared suffering and a unique, cool, novel experience. People were dancing in the seats, high-fiving little kids they didn't know, just having a ball. And it rubbed off. My kids participated in the wave for the first time. It was really...special.

So, maybe that's the draw. Introduce a bunch of new people to the game of hockey in an atmosphere that is more hospitable than just dropping them into the upper deck at Wells Fargo Center in Philly wearing a Rangers jersey would be. And, if so, then that's enough. Hockey is worth that to me.

But, having been to an outdoor game, I do not feel the need to go to another one, ever again. And I certainly wouldn't pay NHL dollars to go to one. The optics on TV are good for a minute, but in the same way that I like to see about two minutes of the red carpet at the Oscars - it's a spectacle. I'm not rearranging my schedule to watch the Isles and Rags on Wednesday, in other words.

The NHL is going to do what's good for the NHL - that's their prerogative. And the fact of the matter is that these outdoor games do not interrupt my being a fan of the NHL. It's just a thing.

Thursday, January 23, 2014

3 Things: Wild vs. Blackhawks

by NiNY

Big game for the Wild tonight against Chicago. It's never a good thing when you have to say that, over a four-game set, the game against Chicago is arguably the most-winnable! But, after tonight's game in St. Paul, the Wild heads out west to play, in order, San Jose, Anaheim and Colorado, before completing the four-game roader in Calgary.

1. It's The Cows. Kuemper has played very well of late. Even with Backstrom healthy enough to dress, I think I'm at least as comfortable with Darcy in the cage than Backstrom - even though Bax has played better of late, as well. I'm not less-comfortable with Kuemper, anyway. But, against Chicago, and with all due respect to Dallas, Edmonton, Ottawa, Nashville, Montreal and Toronto, Kuemper will see the best team he's seen this season since he beat LA on 1/7. He has the mechanics, it seems like his struggles early this season were confidence and maybe a bit of rust. But neither of those things seem to be bothering him now. That must continue to be evident tonight or the Wild cannot win, because...

2. Goals, goals, goals. The Wild's offense continues to be dismal, overall. Tied for 21st in the league with goals for per game (2.45), they have done an admirable job since the plague of shot-blocking injuries set upon them. But, the Minnesota Wild cannot win a shootout against the Blackhawks. Crawford got touched for 4 last night (plus the SO loss), so we'll see who Coach Q plays tonight on the quick turnaround. Regardless, you're going to have to score in order to win most of the time (channeling Lemaire), and if the Hawks put up the goals they typically put up (3.12 goals for per game), the Wild is going to be in trouble.

3. Les Enfants. This could end up being the season that really sets the Wild up for success and opens their window looking ahead a couple years. Why? Because the kids have been pressed into duty, and we're not getting ground up like the kids in Edmonton, for example. They're seeing (moderate) success, which is good if only because the alternative - losing - runs the risk of killing their confidence. With Parise, Koivu, Spurgeon, Bax and Hards all out, the kids have stepped in and we haven't sunk to the bottom of the league. If the typical progression is something like: kids get experience, mix in the right vets, suffer heartbreak in the playoffs, learn "how to win", then emerge as a contender, one could say the Wild is somewhere on that arc right now - which is comforting given where they were even two seasons ago. I know some of you get all exercised when Zucker gets demoted to the fourth line or back to Iowa. But there has to be a reason why, and Yeo is well aware of the positive things he brings to the game (speed, scoring) and Yeo also knows we need those things. But, although the offense isn't consistent yet, Coyle is coming along. Granlund, too. Nino has been a terrific get for Fletcher, one of the best values in the league. And don't look now, but Fontaine is on a 20-goal pace! The Wild might have as strong a core of 2nd-3rd line youth as there is in the league. And we don't even have to discuss Brodin, do we? Didn't think so.

Tuesday, January 21, 2014

Four Men and a Flipper

The speed of the game of hockey today has dictated that only having one set of eyes call all penalties just isn't feasible anymore for games played at the sport's highest level. The four-man officiating system is universally accepted as the best officiating system for hockey at its upper levels. College, most professional leagues, the NHL, and IIHF (the International Ice Hockey Federation, governing body for the Olympics, among other things) have all adopted the four-man system. That being said, it is not a system without flaws. A play in the Minnesota Wild / Dallas Stars game on Saturday, January 18th provided a specific example where the four-man system can be particularly vulnerable.

http;//youtu.be/FwLmG-S2jEg

The Sitch
Play starts out with Dallas defenseman Trevor Daley skating the puck out of his defensive zone. At this point the lead ref starts retreating to the Minnesota zone. Daley is approached by a fore-checking Kyle Brodziak. At about the top of the faceoff circle, Daley drops the puck back to Alex Goligoski just above the faceoff dot. Brodziak peels off, and takes a couple of strides backwards through the neutral zone. Trailing ref Jean Hebert stays behind the play. His responsibility is to monitor all players as they head up the ice. He is the last man to move up ice. Goligoski slides the puck to Benn at his own blue line, and Benn skates through the neutral zone. Lead ref Francois St. Laurent is responsible for being the first man up the ice, and is now approaching the faceoff dot in the Minnesota zone. Halfway between the red line and his attacking blue line, Benn is approached by the on-rushing Matt Cooke. Anticipating contact with the puck carrier Benn, Cooke appears to try to slow down or stop suddenly as he closes in. Benn slides the puck into the Wild zone and then immediately extends his left arm and elbow outward and upward, contacting Cooke in the face and head area, and sending him reeling backwards to the ice. At the point of contact Hebert (trail ref) is probably in the vicinity of the Dallas blue line, while lead ref St. Laurent is nearing the goal line deep in the Wild zone. No penalty is called as a result of the contact initiated by Benn on Cooke. This situation illustrates one of the biggest complaints about the four-man officiating system- the neutral zone can be particularly susceptible to a lack of visual coverage by the referees.

“How the hell can all 4 of ‘em miss that?”
While there are indeed 4 officials working every NHL game, there are different responsibilities divvied up between the referees and linesmen. Among referees responsibilities are calling penalties, awarding goals & assists, ensuring no player changes happen when teams ice the puck, and general supervision of the game. Linesmen are primarily responsible for determining off-side and icing calls. The only time a linesman shall stop play due to a penalty infraction is due to 1) too many men on the ice, 2) articles thrown on the ice from the vicinity of the players’ bench or penalty bench, or 3) delaying the game by deliberately displacing the goal post. A linesman may not stop play but instead can report to the referee at the next stoppage of play his version of a potential rules infraction that he believes is worthy of a bench minor, major, misconduct, game misconduct, or penalty shot. Also, any injury potential penalty that occurs outside of the referee’s field of vision may be reported to the referee. The referee may, at his discretion, assess a penalty in such instances. At the first whistle after the Benn hit on Cooke, linesmen Mark Wheler and Bryan Pancich race in to intervene before a scuffle ensues. As Pancich is keeping Cooke in check, and it becomes clear no physical confrontations are going to take place, referee St. Laurent and linesman Wheler have a quick exchange. I can only speculate that St. Laurent asked Wheler if he saw anything about the Benn hit that was worthy of a penalty. While they kept this chat brief, I can guarantee the whole crew talked about this hit at length after the game in the sanctuary of the dressing room. As Cooke was able to get up immediately and jump back into play, seemingly uninjured, any potential penalty call on this play would have been up to the two referees. I am quite certain this was a non-call due to the positioning of the referees, and that they did not get a good look at the hit from their vantage point. I can’t for one second fathom that an NHL-caliber referee with a good vantage point and sightline would have seen this play clearly, and ruled it a “clean” play without penalizing him. This play serves as a prime example that the four-man officiating system, while generally a very effective one, is not without its flaws.

Zebra Hierarchy Referees and linesmen work together under a code of their own. The refs are the stars, the linesmen the supporting cast. Good linesmen can make a good ref look great. Conversely, a ref can do a great job with penalty assessments, but if his linesmen have some questionable offside or icing calls, the take-away for most people is “Jeez, those guys suck!” In most cases, linesmen operate under the “don’t speak until spoken to” mantra with regard to judgment calls by the referee. It’s kind of a courtesy / respect thing, and with four officials on the ice it is imperative that the men in stripes work in concert, without stepping on each other’s toes. I always laugh to myself when watching a game and I hear someone say out of frustration, “C’mon, there’s two teams out there!” A little voice inside my head says, “Well, there’s actually three teams out there…”

Saturday, January 4, 2014

3 Things: Wild vs. Capitals

By NiNY

1. Backstrom was much better against Buffalo than he had been in a while - maybe all season. Granted, Buffalo is a weak team, but he was on top of his crease, moved laterally well, all signs that he was playing with confidence. With Harding still under the weather, obviously we need Bax. He must build on his game from Thursday if the Wild is going to have a shot tonight.

2. Ballard has struggled of late, and it hasn't been subtle. He is needed now, with Spurgeon out for a bit. This was supposed to be a season where Ballard got his career back on track. Tonight would be a very good time to demonstrate his intention to do just that.

3. Scoring depth was in evidence in the Buffalo game. If that continues, it would go a long way toward keeping the Wild moving in the right direction. Hard to imagine the Caps posting a bagel on the scoreboard, so we will need to find some offense. It's evident Mikko can't (won't) do it himself, so alternative means of scoring goals is necessary.