Thursday, March 20, 2008

SOS update

Only one of the six teams we're tracking played last night, and it was Minnesota who earned a critical point in the SOL to the Sharks. The Wild now have a three-point lead over Calgary, Vancouver and Colorado in the NW, though the Flames and Canucks each have a game in hand (and two fewer wins).

Current standings
# TEAM GP/W/PTS
3. MIN 74/39/87
6. VAN 73/37/84
7. CGY 73/37/84
8. COL 74/39/84
9. NAS 74/36/80
10. EDM 74/37/79

Home/away winning percentages
EDM: h .583 / a .485
COL: h .657 / a .485
MIN: h .656 / a .545
CGY: h .643 / a .543
VAN: h .633 / a .545
NAS: h .606 / a .485

Remaining schedule
MIN: @ VAN, @ CGY, @ EDM, EDM, CAN, COL, CGY, @ COL
COL: @ CGY, @ EDM, CGY, VAN, EDM, @ MIN, @ VAN, MIN
CGY: COL, MIN, @ COL, VAN, EDM, @ VAN, @ EDM, @ MIN, @ VAN
VAN: @ EDM, MIN, @ CGY, @ COL, @ MIN, CGY, COL, EDM, CGY
NAS: DET, CHI, CBJ, @ CBJ, @ DET, @ STL, STL, CHI
EDM: VAN, COL, MIN, @ MIN, @ COL, @ CGY, CGY, @ VAN

Total SOS score for remaining games*
COL 32.3
EDM 33.3
NAS 37.2
CGY 43.5**
MIN 43.5
VAN 46.2

*Since none of the six teams plays out of the conference from here on out, I redid the SOS so that only the 15 teams in the western conference are ranked. This obviously brought the scores "down". It also had a tightening effect on the range of scores.

**One potential glitch here is that Calgary does not appear to be penalized at all for finishing the season with four on the road. I altered the formulae to make the "penalty" for playing on the road twice as big as the "bonus" for playing at home, and it really didn't change the relative rankings at all:

COL 32.7
EDM 33.5
NAS 37.9
CGY 43.4
MIN 43.7
VAN 46.7

NiNY

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