Friday, October 2, 2009

New Feature! Comparative Analysis: Brent Burns

I'm excited to introduce one of my new features for the '09-10 season. Wild fans like to think of Brent Burns as one of the best young defensemen in the game. Unfortunately, for Brent and Wild fans alike, Brent had a rough season last year between switching up to forward for a while and injuries. The result, as you saw in KiPA's fantasy analysis, is that Burnsie's star seems to have fallen ex-Minnesota, anyway.

So I'm going to be putting the microscope on Burns as compared to some of his peers in the "young stud defenseman" category. Namely Mike Green, Shea Weber, Dion Phaneuf and Jay Bouwmeester.

I'm going to be looking at how these young bucks stack up against each other statistically, as the season progresses.

To begin with, here's how they compared last season.

Name, GP, Goals-Assists-Points, League rank (points), Points/gm, +/-
Green 68, 31-42-73, 1st, 1.074, +24
Weber 81, 23-30-53, 8th, 0.654, +1
Phaneuf 80, 11-36-47, 15th, 0.588, -11
Bouwmeester 82, 15-27-72, 23rd, 0.512, -2
Burns 53 8-19-27, 59th. 0.509, -7

Name, PwrPlyG-PwrPlyA-PwrPlyPts
Green 18-20-38
Weber 10-9-19
Phaneuf 4-17-21
Bouwmeester 4-20-24
Burns 4-10-14

Name, PIM, GWG, TOI/Gm, Cap Hit
Green 68, 4, 25:45, $5.25M
Weber 80, 4, 23:58, $4.50M
Phaneuf 100, 4, 26:31, $6.50M
Bouwmeester 68, 2, 26:59, $6.68M
Burns 45, 2, 22:25, $3.55M

Name, Cap hit/GP, Cap hit/point, Cap hit/PwrPlyPt
Green $77.2K, $71.9K, $138.1K
Weber $55.5K, $84.9K, $236.8K
Phaneuf $81.2K, $138.2K, $309.5K
Bouwmeester $81.4K, $159.0K, $278.3K
Burns $66.9K, $131.4K, $253.5K

*Conclusions: Burns, relative to the rest of the group, was definitely an expensive player last season for the Wild. While it's interesting to note that both Phaneuf and Bouwmeester were more expensive than Burns from a cap hit/pts perspective, it should also be noted that Green and Weber really separated themselves from the rest of the group. Now, you can say that Burns had issues with health and switching to forward, Phaneuf just had a down year and Bouwmeester was toiling in Miami, and you'd be right. But, nonetheless, the onus is on Burns, Phaneuf and Bouwmeester to prove they can catch up with Green and Weber at this point.


1 comment:

KiPA - Kevin in PA said...

While I believe Burns should not be a first or necessarily even a No. 2 defenseman drafted on a team's roster, that's more because I think his expectations have been drastically lowered, not because he's not capable of it. Meaning I think he can safely be drafted in late rounds and so you can use those earlier picks and still get quality players, then grab him as a sleeper later on, when it's crucial to find good value.

If he's healthy, I think he'll have a very good season. I own him now in two leagues after I picked him up after Markov decided to test Carey Price's skate sharpness with his tendon. I think Burns will be a diamond in the rough for fantasy owners.